This morning’s gains come after one of the biggest one-day declines in stock market history yesterday that dragged the S&P 500 Index into bear market territory, ending the longest bull market in history. Traders are taking their cues this morning from improving prospects for a stimulus package out of Washington, expectations of more policy responses from global central banks, and deeply oversold conditions. Asian markets bounced off their overnight lows after several trading halts, while stocks in Europe are sharply higher in midday trading across the pond. Central banks stepping up. The Fed pumped—or announced it will pump—trillions of dollars into the financial system, effectively re-instating quantitative easing. The European Central Bank and Bank of Japan expanded their short-term lending programs and increased securities purchases, including exchange-traded fund purchases in Japan. The People’s Bank of China cut reserve requirements for banks. Though no panacea, these moves along with fiscal policy actions will help buy some time while the containment measures take hold. Signs of a washout? One of the worst three-week stretches in market history has investors searching for a bottom. Certainly panic has gripped the market, and today’s LPL Research blog takes a look at some sentiment indicators that are flashing extremes typically seen only at or near major market lows. IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES This material is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. There is no assurance that the views or strategies discussed are suitable for all investors or will yield positive outcomes. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Index performance is not indicative of the performance of any investment and do not reflect fees, expenses, or sales charges. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. Any company names noted herein are for educational purposes only and not an indication of trading intent or a solicitation of their products or services. LPL Financial doesn’t provide research on individual equities. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, LPL Financial makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This Research material was prepared by LPL Financial, LLC. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial (LPL), a registered investment advisor and broker-dealer (member FINRA/SIPC). Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates. To the extent you are receiving investment advice from a separately registered independent investment advisor that is not an LPL affiliate, please note LPL makes no representation with respect to such entity. If your representative is located at a bank or credit union, please note that the bank/credit union is not registered as a broker-dealer or investment advisor. Registered representatives of LPL may also be employees of the bank/credit union. These products and services are being offered through LPL or its affiliates, which are separate entities from, and not affiliates of, the bank/credit union. Securities and insurance offered through LPL or its affiliates are:
- Not Insured by FDIC/NCUA or Any Other Government Agency
- Not Bank/Credit Union Guaranteed
- Not Bank/Credit Union Deposits or Obligations
- May Lose Value